10-yr Treasury4.99%-1 bp
2-yr Treasury4.70%+2 bp
2s10s curve29 bp-3 bp
30-yr Treasury5.30%-1 bp

Economy

Credit stress, jobs and migration behind the demand for mortgages in this footprint.

Credit stress: share of mortgages past due (CFPB)

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Percent of outstanding first-lien mortgages by days past due, from the National Mortgage Database. Published quarterly with a lag of about a quarter; rising 30-89 is the earliest local warning. Source: .

Labor: unemployment by county and federal jobs by metro

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Federal payrolls drive this footprint's housing demand more than any other metro's. Not seasonally adjusted.
County rates are not seasonally adjusted; compare year over year. Source: .

Migration: where households are coming from and going (IRS)

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Flows for
One tax return ≈ one household; AGI is the adjusted gross income those households carried. Annual, about two years behind. Source: .

Distress and policy references

Economy · Beltway MI